86 /100
CRITICAL RISK
Score updated Jul 14, 2026

NAKA — Nakamoto Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track NAKA dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 14, 2026, Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 86/100, rated CRITICAL dilution risk. Nakamoto Inc. has a market capitalization of $108.94M, 696.09M shares outstanding, 62 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include shelf registration capacity of $5.00B, ATM program capacity of $600.00M, approximately 18 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
100
💰 Cash Runway
40
📊 Float Risk
100
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
44%
🔁 Convertible Conversion 60%
• Major convertible overhang: 37% potential dilution
• Convertible risk score very high (85/100)
💰 Capital Raise 38%
• Active shelf registration ($5000M, 4590% of market cap)
• Active ATM program with $600M remaining capacity
📉 Score Deterioration 15%
• Score already CRITICAL (86/100) — events likely imminent
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$108.94M
Shares Outstanding696.09M
Float10.75M
Cash$35.30M
Debt$64.4K
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 1.2% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
62 institutional holders · 136.49M shares
#1 Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. 25.61M shares
#2 UBS Group AG 16.94M shares
#3 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 9.89M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest1.19M
Days to Cover5.1
% of Float11.0%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
EFFECT EFFECT Apr 23, 2026
EFFECT EFFECT Apr 23, 2026
S-3/A SHELF Apr 17, 2026
S-3/A SHELF Apr 17, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for NAKA Shareholders

Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) carries a DilutionScore of 86/100, placing it in the Critical dilution risk tier — the highest category tracked by DilutionWatch. Companies at this level typically have active capital-raising programs, compressed cash runway, or a combination of dilution vectors that together represent meaningful downside risk to share count. As of July 14, 2026, this score reflects real-time data pulled directly from SEC EDGAR filings.

The most significant dilution vector for NAKA is its shelf registration capacity of $5.00B. A shelf registration (typically an S-3 filing) gives a company pre-approved access to raise capital quickly without a traditional roadshow. The registered amount represents the maximum that can be raised — not necessarily what will be raised — but active shelves combined with tight cash positions are the pattern DilutionWatch monitors most closely. NAKA has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $600.0M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for NAKA in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. A recent S-3 or registration statement filing appears in NAKA's filing history — this warrants monitoring for subsequent prospectus supplements (Form 424B), which indicate active capital raising. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for NAKA alongside comparable critical-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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📖 Dilution Education
→ Complete Dilution Guide for Retail Investors → Anti-Dilution Provisions Explained → Stock Dilution Red Flags to Watch → Understanding Shelf Registrations
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