Score Breakdown
Dilution Forecast
Market Data
Source-Backed Evidence Depth
This public preview uses stored DilutionWatch fields and linked SEC/market records only. Missing values are not estimated.
| Field | Current Value | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| DilutionScore | 41/100 | DilutionWatch score record |
| Shares Outstanding | 167.40M | Verified float table or market cache |
| Public Float | 110.19M | Verified float table or market cache |
| Market Cap | $3.24B | Market data cache |
| Cash Runway | 26.4 months | DilutionWatch score inputs |
| Shelf Capacity | $190.10M | SEC-derived dilution fields |
| ATM Capacity | $480.00M | SEC-derived dilution fields |
| Outstanding Warrants | None in current score inputs | SEC-derived dilution fields |
Recent source-backed SEC insight records available on this page: 7.
Recent SEC source mix: 3 1, 4 3, 424B3 1, XBRL 2.
The page does not infer future share issuance, financing probability, cash needs, management intent, or price impact when source fields are absent.
Institutional Holdings
Institutional holder totals are aggregated from ownership filings and may use a different share basis or reporting date than public float. They are not a reconciliation against tradeable float.
Short Interest
Recent SEC Activity
Recent News
Factual FLY Dilution Snapshot
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) has a DilutionScore of 41/100, rated Medium dilution risk. Score date: October 13, 2026.
- Stored shelf registration capacity: $190.1M.
- Stored ATM program remaining capacity: $480.0M.
- Recent SEC activity tracked for FLY: 3 on 2026-10-07; 4 on 2026-10-07; 424B3 on 2026-10-06.
This automatically generated snapshot is assembled from stored DilutionWatch data fields and may contain data-source errors or omissions. It is not financial advice, not investment research, and not a recommendation. Do your own research and review the full disclaimer and terms of service.
DilutionScore History — Last 90 Days
FLY's DilutionScore is currently 41/100 (Medium risk), with 3 score changes tracked over 89 days. The score improved from 38/100 (Medium risk).
| Period | Score | Risk Level | Duration |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 – Oct 13, 2026 | 41/100 | MEDIUM | 15 days |
| Sep 26 – Sep 28, 2026 | 38/100 | MEDIUM | 3 days |
| Aug 14 – Sep 25, 2026 | 37/100 | MEDIUM | 42 days |
| Jul 16 – Aug 13, 2026 | 41/100 | MEDIUM | 29 days |
Score recalculated daily from SEC filings and market data. Sign up free for real-time score change alerts.
Share Dilution History
FLY shares outstanding have increased 0.6% from 159.25M (Mar 2026) to 160.24M (May 2026). Each increase represents potential dilution to existing shareholders.
| Date | Shares Outstanding | Public Float | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | 160.24M | 110.19M | ▲ 27.08% |
| May 08, 2026 | 160.24M | 86.71M | ▲ 0.07% |
| May 07, 2026 | 160.24M | 86.65M | ▲ 0.18% |
| Apr 20, 2026 | 159.95M | 86.50M | ▲ 3.54% |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 159.95M | 83.54M | ▼ 21.93% |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 159.95M | 107.01M | ▲ 1.40% |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 159.95M | 105.54M | ▲ 0.64% |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 159.25M | 104.85M | ▲ 0.02% |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 159.25M | 104.84M | ▲ 1.23% |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 159.25M | 103.57M | ▼ 0.01% |
Share counts sourced from verified regulatory filings. Increases indicate dilution events.
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