65 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 13, 2026

ASLE — AerSale Corporation Dilution Risk Tracker

Track ASLE dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 13, 2026, AerSale Corporation (ASLE) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 65/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. AerSale Corporation has a market capitalization of $311.40M, 52.99M shares outstanding, 144 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include 6.08M outstanding warrants, approximately 0 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
40
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
45
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
50
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

🌥️
Advisory
Moderate dilution signals present
34%
💰 Capital Raise 55%
• Critical: only 0.2 months cash remaining
📜 Warrant Exercise 15%
• Warrant overhang: 11.5% of shares outstanding
📉 Score Deterioration 10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (65/100)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$311.40M
Shares Outstanding52.99M
Float27.12M
Cash$2.08M
Debt$139.82M
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 11.7% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
144 institutional holders · 32.02M shares
#1 M3F, Inc. 3.98M shares
#2 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 2.86M shares
#3 BlackRock, Inc. 2.60M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest1.89M
Days to Cover3.5
% of Float7.0%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Mar 16, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Jan 12, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for ASLE Shareholders

AerSale Corporation (ASLE) has a DilutionScore of 65/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 13, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

DilutionWatch tracks 6.1M outstanding warrants for ASLE. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window. Cash runway is a key watch item: ASLE has approximately 0 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for ASLE in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for ASLE alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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