65 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 13, 2026

LCID — Lucid Group, Inc. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track LCID dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 13, 2026, Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 65/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. Lucid Group, Inc. has a market capitalization of $2.56B, 390.26M shares outstanding, 10 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include ATM program capacity of $291.50M, 1.55M outstanding warrants, approximately 3 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
32
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
47
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
15
🔄Convertible Debt

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

⛈️
Warning
High probability of dilution event
39%
💰 Capital Raise 73%
• Critical: only 2.9 months cash remaining
• Active ATM program with $292M remaining capacity
📉 Score Deterioration 10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (65/100)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$2.56B
Shares Outstanding390.26M
Float172.35M
Cash$700.36M
Debt$2.76B
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

10 institutional holders · 229.50M shares
#1 Public Investment Fund 177.09M shares
#2 Uber Technologies, Inc 13.72M shares
#3 UBS Group AG 9.14M shares
+ 7 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest63.47M
Days to Cover4.1
% of Float36.8%
FINRA data as of Jun 30, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
xbrl XBRL CONVERTIBLE Dec 31, 2023
8-K 8K EVENT Apr 29, 2026
4 INSIDER TRANSACTION Apr 28, 2026
3 FORM3 Apr 20, 2026
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for LCID Shareholders

Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) has a DilutionScore of 65/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 13, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

LCID has an active ATM (at-the-market) program with $291.5M remaining capacity. ATM programs allow companies to sell shares continuously into the open market through a broker-dealer — without announcing a secondary offering. This creates a silent but steady source of share dilution that shows up in quarterly share count increases rather than a discrete offering event. DilutionWatch tracks 1.5M outstanding warrants for LCID. Warrants become dilutive when exercised — converting to common shares at the strike price. Warrants near or in-the-money deserve particular attention since exercise can add materially to the outstanding share count within a short window.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for LCID in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. Recent 8-K filings are present; material events disclosures can sometimes precede or accompany capital raises. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for LCID alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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