65 /100
HIGH RISK
Score updated Jul 06, 2026

HCMA — HCM III Acquisition Corp. Dilution Risk Tracker

Track HCMA dilution risk with DilutionWatch's stock tracker. DilutionScore™ measures dilution risk across 5 factors — lower scores indicate higher risk of share dilution.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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As of July 06, 2026, HCM III Acquisition Corp. (HCMA) has a DilutionWatch DilutionScore of 65/100, rated HIGH dilution risk. HCM III Acquisition Corp. has a market capitalization of $346.44M, 7.33M shares outstanding, 54 institutional holders tracked. Key dilution vectors include approximately 3 months of cash runway.

Source: DilutionWatch (dilutionwatch.com) — data updated daily from SEC EDGAR filings. Not financial advice.

📊 Score Breakdown

📋 Offering Ability
52
💰 Cash Runway
95
📊 Float Risk
7
⚠️ Warrant Exposure
40
🔄Convertible Debt—

🌦️ Dilution Forecast

🌥️
Advisory
Moderate dilution signals present
30%
💰 Capital Raise 55%
• Critical: only 2.8 months cash remaining
📉 Score Deterioration 10%
• Score in HIGH risk zone (65/100)
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💹 Market Data

Market Cap$346.44M
Shares Outstanding7.33M
FloatN/A
Cash$83.8K
DebtN/A
Short InterestN/A

🏛 Institutional Holdings

QoQ: ↑ 8.3% shares (2026Q1 vs prior)
54 institutional holders · 24.84M shares
#1 METEORA CAPITAL, LLC 2.08M shares
#2 PEAK6 LLC 1.50M shares
#3 Linden Advisors LP 1.20M shares
+ 17 more holders Sign up free to view →

📉 Short Interest

Short Interest6.3K
Days to Cover1.0
% of FloatN/A
FINRA data as of Jun 15, 2026

📁 Recent SEC Activity

xbrl XBRL WARRANT Dec 31, 2025
Full SEC filing analysis available with free account →

📰 Recent News

No recent news

📋 What This Means for HCMA Shareholders

HCM III Acquisition Corp. (HCMA) has a DilutionScore of 65/100, placing it in the High dilution risk tier. This score reflects at least one active dilution mechanism — a shelf registration, ATM program, outstanding warrants, or limited cash runway — that could materially increase the share count over the next 12–18 months. Score as of July 06, 2026, updated from SEC EDGAR data.

Cash runway is a key watch item: HCMA has approximately 3 months of runway at current burn rate. Companies with less than 18 months of runway are statistically more likely to file new shelf registrations or ATM programs within the next two quarters. DilutionWatch monitors SEC 10-Q filings to update this estimate each quarter.

DilutionWatch tracks over 25 SEC filing types for HCMA in real-time, scanning EDGAR every 60 seconds. The DilutionWatch screener shows real-time score changes for HCMA alongside comparable high-risk stocks. Not financial advice — this analysis is for informational purposes only.

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